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MessagePosté le: Mer 11 Jan - 23:25 (2012)    Sujet du message: La venue du <<Squeeze d'Argent>> Répondre en citant

La venue du <<Squeeze d'Argent>>

Les dix plus grands négociants en métaux précieux sur le COMEX détiennent actuellement des positions nettes courtes en argent qui représentent plus de 330 millions d'onces - près de la moitié de la production totale d'argent mondiale.

Comparez cela à l'or, dans lequel la position nette courte dans les dix mêmes commerçants représente 25 millions d'onces (ou à peine 1%) des 2 milliards d'onces d'or, l'inventaire du monde.

Cela signifie que la position nette courte dans l'argent est 27 fois supérieure à celle de l'or .

C'est la mise en place ce que je crois peut être une situation explosive pour les investisseurs sage.

Le plus grand détenteurs de compte lingots d'argent pour environ la moitié (500 millions d'onces) de la 1 milliard d'onces d'argent dans le monde entier.

Ceci est réparti sur les sept plus grands fonds d'investissement, qui comprennent iShares Silver Trust (NYSE: SLV), le Central Fund of Canada (AMEX: CEF), et d'autres.

Cela signifie que 500.000.000 onces rester pour le reste du monde à investir en

Et n'oubliez pas que, à un certain moment, 330 millions d'onces d'présent auront éventuellement besoin d'être acheté par le net physiques positions courtes des dix plus grands joueurs de courte qui devra éventuellement couvrir.

Cela signifie qu'il ne ferait que 170 millions d'onces d'argent disponibles pour les investisseurs dans le monde entier comme l'Inde et la Chine qui sont soudainement argent en achetant toujours des quantités croissantes .

Et contrairement à l'or, il ya peu dans la voie de l'inventaire disponible au sol d'argent dessus.

Le COMEX rapports environ 120 millions d'onces d'argent dans l'inventaire. Mais la plupart de ceci est déjà pris en compte par ceux qui détiennent un récépissé d'entrepôt.

Tout cela devient un réel problème lorsque l'on considère que l'appropriation de l'argent physique est quasiment devenir une religion en Chine.

En 2011, la Chine est passée d'un pays exportateur net de 100 millions d'onces d'argent à un importateur net de 150 millions d'onces d'argent. Cela signifie essentiellement que 250 millions d'argent n'est plus disponible sur le marché sur une base annuelle.

Le gouvernement chinois est d'enseigner à leurs citoyens la propriété de l'argent est un antidote à la dévaluation du dollar américain.

Et ils ont raison.

Ceci a des implications énormes pour le marché de l'argent quand on considère les 1,3 milliard de personnes qui y vivent sont en train de devenir plus intéressés à acheter des lingots physiques ... et continuera à le faire depuis un certain temps en quantités croissantes.

Le prix de l'argent est maintenant à distance de frappe des records re-test que le métal continue de réagir à la demande mondiale croissante et de fournitures, diminue rapidement.

Comme je l'ai mentionné, nous nous attendons à voir le prix de l'argent $ top 50 cette année. En ce qui concerne cela, je continue d'exhorter les spéculateurs à acheter de l'argent physique pendant qu'il est encore facilement disponibles sur le marché de détail.

Investissements dans l'argent physique - ainsi que des stocks d'argent de la qualité - sera très performant dans les mois et années à venir.

Merci de vous abonnant . Restez à l'écoute des mises à jour quotidiennes sur les métaux précieux, du pétrole, les stocks, et des obligations.
Wealth Wire!
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MessagePosté le: Jeu 12 Jan - 21:38 (2012)    Sujet du message: La venue du <<Squeeze d'Argent>> Répondre en citant

Pour aller un peu plus loin voila le rapport complet


 
Special Report 
Why Silver will Always Beat Gold
The Gold-Silver Ratio
 
We've been screaming about silver since it was $6 an ounce nearly a decade ago. 
During the height of the credit crisis in 2008 silver fell to $12 we couldn’t have been more bullish and noted that we could see a major squeeze.  
Silver prices have more than quadrupled since then. 
But this run is far from over. Gold is in a bull market with years left to run and silver always beats gold
The most important indicator silver investors need to understand why silver always beats gold is the historic gold/silver ratio. 
Precious Metals Profits Investors Heed Gold/Silver Ratio
One of the best indicators of how far silver prices can leap in the near-term is the gold/silver ratio. 
Based on the number of ounces of silver an ounce of gold is worth, this ratio has stayed within a moderate range over the past 30 years. 
For example: In 1980, an ounce of gold was worth 14 ounces of silver. In 1990, an ounce of gold was worth just over 100 ounces of silver. 
If you average out the price ratio between gold and silver (how many ounces of silver an ounce of gold will buy) throughout history, you land on a single magical proportion: 16 to 1. 
This chart gets the point across nicely. 
 
And even experts who do not subscribe to fixed pricing relationships generally agree that a price ratio of 20 to 1 should be considered normal. 
To investors, this should mean two things: 
1.) That silver is undervalued historically; and

3.) When combined with mad Federal Reserve printing, prices can go much higher, as we highlight in Silver Going to $100
Just look at how the ratio works out in a more current situation. A recent snapshot of gold and silver prices (with gold at $1,700 and silver at $32 and the gold/silver ratio at 53.) is a great example. 
A gold/silver ratio of 53 is at the higher end of the scale. 
Its saying silver is cheap relative to gold in and silver has much more upside potential than gold. 
If the ratio were to fall back to 16 as it was in 1980, silver would have to rise four times if gold did not go up at all. 
There are many more reasons to expect silver beat gold even more in the future. 
The Future Gold/Silver Ratio
Over the long run, the gold/silver ratio is going much, much lower than it is now and back to its average over the past century of 16-to-1. 
The reason is simple: when the bull market in precious metals peaks, there won’t be enough gold to go around... but there’s will be even less silver. 
Gold and silver mines are running at much different paces. For every ounce of gold produced, there are only nine ounces of silver. (ratio: 9-to-1
The U.S. Geological Survey reports there are only six ounces of known in-the-ground silver resources for every one ounce of gold in the ground. (ratio: 6-to-1
The CPM Group reports the total silver available in the world only is only five times larger than the number of ounces of gold. (ratio: 5-to-1
Meanwhile, demand is far outpacing those supplies... 
Silver’s Two Faces 
Silver isn’t just a precious metal and (unofficial) currency; it is also one of our main industrial metals. 
One of the most conductive substances known to man, it’s used in everything from photography, to compact discs, to semi-conductors, to medical equipment. Basically, if something is high-tech, it contains silver. 
Here's a breakdown of silver usage by sector: 
 

 
  
The metal’s so heavily used, in fact, that for the last several decades, the world’s total silver supply has barely been able to keep up with demand — even though the 20th century saw historic production increases. 
Demand ramped up in the last quarter of the 20th century to the point where, for almost two decades (between 1998 and 2007), silver was in a fully-fledged global deficit. 
It wasn’t until the worst economic disaster in three generations that supply finally dropped to below production levels. 
However, with photography alone consuming 128 million ounces of silver annually as of 2007 (that’s more than 3 times the US’s total Silver reserve), and other industrial processes accounting for another 312 million ounces, the world’s total available silver (both produced and hypothetical) is steadily — and irretrievably — decreasing.   
So while gold is constantly being transferred based on price fluctuations and demand alone... silver, as an element, is actually vanishing. 
Good, Better, and Best
With demand rising and supply not keeping pace, the silver industry has had no choice but to create new ways to own the metal. 
There’s never been so much variety in the way you can own silver as there is today. 
For those looking for that wealth-saving hedge, there are a number of silver bullion producers that are minting high-quality, high-purity coins for minimal premiums over the spot price of silver (all silver coins sell at a premium to their underlying contained silver value). 
A perfect example of this is the one ounce Mexican Libertad. 
 
Physical coins can be purchased at a number of dealers online, though we have found the cheapest prices through www.apmex.com (no, we don't get paid for this link, it's just the best source we've found). 
However, for those interested in riding silver’s imminent rise will look for something less tangible, like silver ETFs, or, the most aggressive option: silver mining stocks. 
And it’s that last option that I wanted to talk to you the most about. 
Because with so many people piling into gold exploration companies for all of the reasons mentioned above, the case for silver is just that much stronger. 
With the magic ratio currently at such a disparity — 53-to-1 vs. 16-to-1 — those moving into silver exploration today stand to make about three times what their counterparts can expect to cash in investing similarly in gold. 
Sounds nice, I know... And the fact is that investing in silver mining right now may not just be the most profitable angle to take with this most consumed of precious metals — but also the easiest. 
Don’t get me wrong; gold will do very well for investors in the months and years ahead. But on a dollar-for-dollar basis, silver is going to blow the doors off gold’s performance in 2012
Silver could easily eclipse the metal's 1980 nominal high of $50 an ounce again this year. 
And when you learn just how little silver is available on the market right now, I think you'll agree... 
The Coming “Silver Squeeze”
The ten largest precious metal traders on COMEX currently hold net short silver positions that represent more than 330 million ounces — nearly half of total global silver production. 
Compare that to gold, in which the net short position in of the same ten traders represents 25 million ounces (or a mere 1%) of the 2 billion ounces of world gold inventory. 
That means the net short position in silver is 27 times greater than that of gold
This is setting up what I believe could be an explosive situation for wise investors. 
The world's largest holders of silver bullion account for roughly half (500 million ounces) of the available 1 billion ounces of worldwide silver. 
This is spread over the seven largest investment funds, which include iShares Silver Trust (NYSE: SLV), the Central Fund of Canada (AMEX: CEF), and others. 
This means only 500 million ounces remain for the rest of the world to invest in. 
And remember that, at some point, 330 million ounces of this will eventually need to be purchased by the net physical short positions of the ten largest short players who will have to eventually cover. 
That means there would only be 170 million ounces of silver available to investors worldwide like India and China who are suddenly buying silver in ever-increasing amounts
And unlike gold, there is little in the way of available above ground silver inventory. 
The COMEX reports roughly 120 million ounces of silver in inventory. But most of this is already accounted for by those who hold a warehouse receipt. 
All this becomes a real problem when you consider that ownership of physical silver is practically becoming a religion in China. 
In 2011, China went from a net exporter of 100 million ounces of silver to a net importer of 150 million ounces of silver. This essentially means that 250 million of silver is no longer available to the market on an annual basis. 
The Chinese government is teaching their citizens the ownership of silver is an antidote to a devaluing U.S. dollar. 
And they're right. 
This has massive implications for the silver market when you consider the 1.3 billion people who live there are rapidly becoming more interested in buying physical bullion... and will continue to do for quite some time in increasing amounts. 
The price of silver is now within striking distance of re-testing record highs as the metal continues to react to rising global demand and rapidly diminishing supplies. 
As I mentioned, we expect to see the price of silver top $50 this year. In respect to this, I continue to urge speculators to buy physical silver while it's still easily available to the retail market. 
Investments in physical silver — as well as quality silver stocks — will perform very well in the coming months and years. 
Thanks for subscribingStay tuned for daily updates on precious metals, oil, stocks, and bonds. 


You can download the PDF version here: Why Silver will Always Beat Gold 


http://www.wealthwire.com/report/why-silver-will-always-beat-gold/649
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MessagePosté le: Aujourd’hui à 17:52 (2017)    Sujet du message: La venue du <<Squeeze d'Argent>>

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